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Robinhood drops 10% to below IPO price as investors worry about bleak outlook

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Shares of Robinhood are getting crushed in premarket trading on Wednesday following a worrisome earnings report from the newly public brokerage.

Robinhood shares are plummeting 10% in extended trading, dipping below the stock trading app’s IPO price of $38 per share.

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The decline after Robinhood missed on the top and bottom lines of its third quarter results. Revenue was dragged down by a slowdown in crypto trading and Robinhood warned that the headwinds in trading will persist into year-end.

The second quarter was “one of those idiosyncratic market events where there’s this massive interest specifically in Doge,” Robinhood CFO Jason Warnick told CNBC. “We love it when those moments happen. It’s a great way to bring a lot of new customers onto the platform but we’re really thinking about investing in crypto over the long term. It’s gonna be impossible for us to accurately predict…revenue on a quarter-to-quarter basis.”

For the third quarter, total net revenue came in at $365 million, missing a Refinitiv estimate of $431.5 million. This was well below the second quarter’s revenue of $565 million, which was bolstered by a massive surge in crypto trading.

Third-quarter transaction based revenue totaled $267 million, with only $51 million coming from cryptocurrency trading. Revenue from crypto trading totaled $233 million in the second quarter, helped by interest in meme-inspired dogecoin.

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said Robinhood is going to wait for regulatory clarity on crypto before adding more digital coins to the platform. The brokerage currency offers seven coins.

Robinhood reported a net loss of $1.32 billion, or $2.06 per share. Wall Street was expecting a loss of $1.37 per share, according to Refinitiv.

The company also saw a slowdown in user growth. Monthly active users totaled 18.9 million, down from 21.3 million in the second quarter.

The brokerage also gave a bleak outlook for the rest of 2021. Robinhood said it expects fourth-quarter revenue no greater than $325 million. The company sees account growth in line with the 660,000 accounts opened in the third quarter of 2021.

“We wanted to be what we felt was appropriately conservative for our revenue guidance, particularly due to the fact that we are facing seasonal headwinds and lower year-over-year volatility,” Warnick said on the earnings call.

On the earnings call, Robinhood management described the quarter as one without a major market event, like GameStop trading in the first quarter and the rise of Dogecoin in the second quarter.

“We’ve decided as a company to be cautious about chasing growth with marketing dollars,” said Warnick. “You can always spend more to get more customers but what we’ve see is you tend to get lower-intent customers at worse economics.”

Robinhood is also entering the home stretch of its lock-up period, which will be over by December 1.

Starting Wednesday, half of tranche I convertible notes are coming unlocked as well as some employee shares, which totals about 62 million shares. On November 10, the other half of tranche I will be tradable and on December 1 all shares will be fully tradeable.

— with reporting from CNBC’s Kate Rooney.

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